by: David Jenyns
You may be wondering, `Why would David Jenyns write about the worst Forex
trading strategy around?`
There are a couple of reasons:
First, to warn you about the worst Forex trading strategy, because you
really don`t want to end up using this system.
Second, because once you know the worst possible Forex trading strategy,
the one that is designed to maximize your losses over the long run, then
you can reverse it to craft a strategy which does the exact opposite.
With what you learn from the worst Forex trading strategy, you will be
able to create a system that will produce some tremendous long-term gains.
The worst Forex trading strategy I`m referring to, which is simply the
worst Forex trading strategy I have ever encountered, is known as
averaging down. This horrifying Forex trading strategy is the process of
buying more shares that you had previously acquired, as the price drops.
Traders often purchase shares this way in an effort to reduce their
initial entry price.
Only bad investors average down by buying shares of a sinking assests to
decrease their overall average price per share. This Forex trading
strategy is hardly ever effective, and is often like throwing good money
after bad. It also magnifies a trader`s loss if the share keeps dropping.
Remember, just because a share is cheap now that doesn`t mean it`s not
going to get any cheaper. However, let`s examine how this devastating
Forex trading strategy works. Say you bought one thousand shares at $40.
The novice investor may not have a stop loss in place, and the share price
falls to $30 dollars. Here comes the stupidity of this Forex trading
strategy . to average down the novice trader might by another thousand
shares at $30 to lower the average cost per share that he`d already
purchased. So, his average cost per share would now be $35.
Unfortunately, the share price may fall even further, and the novice
trader will again buy more shares to reduce the average cost per share.
They end up buying more and more into a share that`s losing their money.
Now, imagine this Forex trading strategy being applied to a portfolio of
assets. In the end, all the capital will automatically be allocated to the
worse performing assets in the portfolio while the best performing assets
are sold off. The result is, at best, a disastrous underperformance versus
the market.
If a trader uses an averaging down system and uses margins, their losses
will be magnified even further. The biggest problem with this Forex
trading strategy is that a trader`s gains are cut short, and the losers
are left to run. My advice is . never average down. The process of buying
a share, watching it fall, and then throwing more money at it in the hopes
that you`ll either get back to break even or make a bigger killing is one
of the most misguided pieces of advice on Wall Street. Never be faced with
a situation where you`ll ask yourself, Should I risk even more than I
originally intended in a desperate attempt to lower my cost and save my
butt?`
Instead, design a simple, robust system with good money management rules.
I can practically guarantee the results will be better than averaging
down.
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